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Cours scientifiques - ECO_51633_EP : Mathématiques, probabilités et statistiques pour l'économie

Domaine > Economie.

Descriptif

Part 1 

The course reviews the mathemathcal skills that are needed for a research-oriented master in economics. The
course covers mathematical topics. The choice of topics and their presentation is geared towards applications in
economics. The course is an intensive mathematics camp, organized over 1 week prior to the beginning of the academic course.
It aims at providing students with a working knowledge of the concepts and techniques from mathematics that are
critical in a research-oriented master in economics.

Part 2

This course covers the foundational aspects of probability theory at the basis of economics and finance. The topics are standard for an introductory graduate probability course.

The course will last 18 hours and span 4 days. It will be divided into lectures of 4 and 4.5 hours. The first part is dedicated to constructing the notion of probability and random variables. Afterwards the course focuses on probability distributions: It discusses their measures of location and dispersion, such as expectation and variance, their common families, and transformation methods. The successive part of the course is dedicated to an advanced and thorough treatment of the topic of conditionality. The course concludes by presenting asymptotic results and convergence theorems for random variables on which econometrics (and statistical inference in general) is based.

The course’s material can be accompanied by the following suggested readings:
• Casella, G.H. and Berger, R.L. (2002). Statistical Inference. Duxbury/Thomson Learning.

• Wiley J. and Sons (1986). Probability and Measure. Patrick Billingsley.

• Rudin W. (1987). Real and Complex Analysis. McGraw-Hill.

• Williams D. (1991). Probability with Martingales. Cambridge University Pres.

• Bierens, H. J. (2004). Introduction to the mathematical and statistical foundations of econometrics. Cambridge University Press.

 

Objectifs pédagogiques

The student will be able to understand and apply leading results of optimization theory in the context of economic
modelling.

Students will be able to understand and apply probability concepts to economics and finance research.

49.5 heures en présentiel

Diplôme(s) concerné(s)

Objectifs de développement durable

ODD 16 Paix, justice et institutions efficaces, ODD 8 Travail décent et croissance économique.

Format des notes

Numérique sur 20

Littérale/grade réduit

Pour les étudiants du diplôme M1 MiE - Master en Economie

Vos modalités d'acquisition :

no evaluation

L'UE est acquise si Note finale >= 10
  • Crédits ECTS acquis : 0 ECTS

Programme détaillé

Part 1 

The course spans over 4 days (8 half-days), each of which is devoted to the analysis of a central topic.
Day 1: Topology (real numbers, finite-dimensional vector spaces, metric spaces)

Day 2: Calculus (functions of several variables, concavity, differentiation)
Day 3: Static Optimization (without constraints, then with constraints)
Day 4: Dynamic Optimization (Dynamic programming in discrete and continuous time, Calculus of variations,
Optimal control)

Part 2

Lecture 1: Probability spaces
- Probability axioms
- Sigma algebra
- Probability measure
Lecture 2: Random variables
- Definition of a random variable
- Distribution function
- Radon-Nikodym Theorem
- Density function
Lecture 3: Mathematical expectation
- Definition of mathematical expectation
- Moments
- Variance-covariance matrix
- Moment-generating function
Lecture 4: Common random variables
- Common discrete random variables (uniform, geometric, Bernoulli, binomial, Poisson)
- Common continuous random variables (uniform, normal, exponential, gamma, beta)
Lecture 5: Functions of random variables
- Distribution method
- Density method
- Jacobian matrix
Lecture 6: Conditionality
- Conditional probability
- Independence
- Bayes’ rule
- Conditional distribution, density, and expectation
Lecture 7: Asymptomatic analysis
- Pointwise convergence
- Almost sure convergence
- Convergence in probability
- Convergence in LP
- Monotone convergence theorem
- Dominated convergence theorem
Lecture 8: Laws of large numbers
- Markov inequalities
- Weak law of large numbers (WLLN)
- Strong law of large numbers (SLLN)
- Central limit theorem (CLT)
- Delta method

Mots clés

économie, finance, données, mathématiques
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